Critical States Reliability Analysis of Discrete Transportation Systems
نویسندگان
چکیده
The paper presents a resource constrained model of a discrete transportation system that can be used to simulate its operation in presence of faults. The simulation results are used to assess the conditional probability of system failure after a short time after it reaches a specific set of reliability states, i.e. the set of critical states. These are determined as the states when the system is still operational but the probability of failure in near future is unacceptably high. The critical states are shown to be a practical indicator that the system is dangerously degraded.
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